Assessing the Efficiency of \textit{Cordon Sanitaire} as a Control Strategy of Ebola

نویسندگان

  • Baltazar Espinoza
  • Victor Moreno
  • Derdei Bichara
  • Carlos Castillo-Chavez
چکیده

We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of cordons sanitaires, mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that severe restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population. keywords: Ebola virus disease, Asymptomatic, Final size relation, Residence times.

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تاریخ انتشار 2015